ghg emission
Life-Cycle Emissions of AI Hardware: A Cradle-To-Grave Approach and Generational Trends
Schneider, Ian, Xu, Hui, Benecke, Stephan, Patterson, David, Huang, Keguo, Ranganathan, Parthasarathy, Elsworth, Cooper
Specialized hardware accelerators aid the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI), and their efficiency impacts AI's environmental sustainability. This study presents the first publication of a comprehensive AI accelerator life-cycle assessment (LCA) of greenhouse gas emissions, including the first publication of manufacturing emissions of an AI accelerator. Our analysis of five Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) encompasses all stages of the hardware lifespan - from raw material extraction, manufacturing, and disposal, to energy consumption during development, deployment, and serving of AI models. Using first-party data, it offers the most comprehensive evaluation to date of AI hardware's environmental impact. We include detailed descriptions of our LCA to act as a tutorial, road map, and inspiration for other computer engineers to perform similar LCAs to help us all understand the environmental impacts of our chips and of AI. A byproduct of this study is the new metric compute carbon intensity (CCI) that is helpful in evaluating AI hardware sustainability and in estimating the carbon footprint of training and inference. This study shows that CCI improves 3x from TPU v4i to TPU v6e. Moreover, while this paper's focus is on hardware, software advancements leverage and amplify these gains.
Exploring the sustainable scaling of AI dilemma: A projective study of corporations' AI environmental impacts
Desroches, Clément, Chauvin, Martin, Ladan, Louis, Vateau, Caroline, Gosset, Simon, Cordier, Philippe
The rapid growth of artificial intelligence (AI), particularly Large Language Models (LLMs), has raised concerns regarding its global environmental impact that extends beyond greenhouse gas emissions to include consideration of hardware fabrication and end-of-life processes. The opacity from major providers hinders companies' abilities to evaluate their AI-related environmental impacts and achieve net-zero targets. In this paper, we propose a methodology to estimate the environmental impact of a company's AI portfolio, providing actionable insights without necessitating extensive AI and Life-Cycle Assessment (LCA) expertise. Results confirm that large generative AI models consume up to 4600x more energy than traditional models. Our modelling approach, which accounts for increased AI usage, hardware computing efficiency, and changes in electricity mix in line with IPCC scenarios, forecasts AI electricity use up to 2030. Under a high adoption scenario, driven by widespread Generative AI and agents adoption associated to increasingly complex models and frameworks, AI electricity use is projected to rise by a factor of 24.4. Mitigating the environmental impact of Generative AI by 2030 requires coordinated efforts across the AI value chain. Isolated measures in hardware efficiency, model efficiency, or grid improvements alone are insufficient. We advocate for standardized environmental assessment frameworks, greater transparency from the all actors of the value chain and the introduction of a "Return on Environment" metric to align AI development with net-zero goals.
ExioML: Eco-economic dataset for Machine Learning in Global Sectoral Sustainability
Guo, Yanming, Guan, Charles, Ma, Jin
The Environmental Extended Multi-Regional Input-Output analysis is the predominant framework in Ecological Economics for assessing the environmental impact of economic activities. This paper introduces ExioML, the first Machine Learning benchmark dataset designed for sustainability analysis, aimed at lowering barriers and fostering collaboration between Machine Learning and Ecological Economics research. A crucial greenhouse gas emission regression task was conducted to evaluate sectoral sustainability and demonstrate the usability of the dataset. We compared the performance of traditional shallow models with deep learning models, utilizing a diverse Factor Accounting table and incorporating various categorical and numerical features. Our findings reveal that ExioML, with its high usability, enables deep and ensemble models to achieve low mean square errors, establishing a baseline for future Machine Learning research. Through ExioML, we aim to build a foundational dataset supporting various Machine Learning applications and promote climate actions and sustainable investment decisions.
Greenhouse gases emissions: estimating corporate non-reported emissions using interpretable machine learning
Assael, Jeremi, Heurtebize, Thibaut, Carlier, Laurent, Soupé, François
As of 2022, greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions reporting and auditing are not yet compulsory for all companies and methodologies of measurement and estimation are not unified. We propose a machine learning-based model to estimate scope 1 and scope 2 GHG emissions of companies not reporting them yet. Our model, specifically designed to be transparent and completely adapted to this use case, is able to estimate emissions for a large universe of companies. It shows good out-of-sample global performances as well as good out-of-sample granular performances when evaluating it by sectors, by countries or by revenues buckets. We also compare our results to those of other providers and find our estimates to be more accurate. Thanks to the proposed explainability tools using Shapley values, our model is fully interpretable, the user being able to understand which factors split explain the GHG emissions for each particular company.
Towards Climate Awareness in NLP Research
Hershcovich, Daniel, Webersinke, Nicolas, Kraus, Mathias, Bingler, Julia Anna, Leippold, Markus
The climate impact of AI, and NLP research in particular, has become a serious issue given the enormous amount of energy that is increasingly being used for training and running computational models. Consequently, increasing focus is placed on efficient NLP. However, this important initiative lacks simple guidelines that would allow for systematic climate reporting of NLP research. We argue that this deficiency is one of the reasons why very few publications in NLP report key figures that would allow a more thorough examination of environmental impact. As a remedy, we propose a climate performance model card with the primary purpose of being practically usable with only limited information about experiments and the underlying computer hardware. We describe why this step is essential to increase awareness about the environmental impact of NLP research and, thereby, paving the way for more thorough discussions.
How Is AI Changing the Environment for the Better? - Innovation & Tech Today
Significant investments and research developments in artificial intelligence (AI) have made the technology a powerful asset in many industries -- including environmental studies. AI isn't a new technology, but businesses and consumers feel its impact and witness it seep into everyday life. AI is becoming more advanced and autonomous, and it's also broader in its use and impact. More use cases for AI are emerging, and if implemented responsibly, it can greatly benefit society. It's likely to play a role in tackling issues like climate change -- but how? Here's how AI is expected to impact the environment and usher in positive changes for a more sustainable future. It's critical to understand the breadth of environmental problems right now.
How Artificial Intelligence Can Power Climate Change Strategy
Slowing down climate change is an urgent matter. If we fail, our world will face a more extensive crisis than we experienced because of the global COVID-19 pandemic. When artificial intelligence (AI) technology helps solve a problem, problem-solving can be done quicker, and the solution is often one that would have taken longer for humans to discover. There's no time to waste: atmospheric CO2 levels are the highest ever (even with significant drops from the stay-at-home orders for COVID-19), average sea levels are rising (3 inches in the last 25 years alone), and 2019 was the hottest year on record for the world's oceans. Artificial intelligence isn't a silver bullet, but it can certainly help us reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in various ways.
7 Ways to Improve Your Supply Chain Sustainability
As shown in Figure 1, around half of global supply chain executives are pressured by regulators, company executives, end users, etc. to improve their supply chain sustainability. Consequently, 59% of enterprises invested in improving the sustainability of their supply chain. A sustainable supply chain is an important part of improving a company's environmental, social, and governance (ESG) standards which have an impact on attracting more customers and investors. It is responsible for the bulk of scope 3 GHG emissions of a company. Additionally, corporations that source raw materials or intermediate items from developing nations could unintentionally abuse their suppliers' employees who work in inhumane conditions.
Unraveling the hidden environmental impacts of AI solutions for environment
Ligozat, Anne-Laure, Lefèvre, Julien, Bugeau, Aurélie, Combaz, Jacques
In the past ten years artificial intelligence has encountered such dramatic progress that it is seen now as a tool of choice to solve environmental issues and in the first place greenhouse gas emissions (GHG). At the same time the deep learning community began to realize that training models with more and more parameters required a lot of energy and as a consequence GHG emissions. To our knowledge, questioning the complete environmental impacts of AI methods for environment ("AI for green"), and not only GHG, has never been addressed directly. In this article we propose to study the possible negative impact of "AI for green" 1) by reviewing first the different types of AI impacts 2) by presenting the different methodologies used to assess those impacts, in particular life cycle assessment and 3) by discussing how to assess the environmental usefulness of a general AI service.
Estimation of Corporate Greenhouse Gas Emissions via Machine Learning
Han, You, Gopal, Achintya, Ouyang, Liwen, Key, Aaron
As an important step to fulfill the Paris Agreement and achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, the European Commission adopted the most ambitious package of climate impact measures in April 2021 to improve the flow of capital towards sustainable activities. For these and other international measures to be successful, reliable data is key. The ability to see the carbon footprint of companies around the world will be critical for investors to comply with the measures. However, with only a small portion of companies volunteering to disclose their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, it is nearly impossible for investors to align their investment strategies with the measures. By training a machine learning model on disclosed GHG emissions, we are able to estimate the emissions of other companies globally who do not disclose their emissions. In this paper, we show that our model provides accurate estimates of corporate GHG emissions to investors such that they are able to align their investments with the regulatory measures and achieve net-zero goals.